01 / Win-rate gap
+53.2 pts
Outgain the opponent
More total yards
93.7%
104–7 · 111 games
Equal or fewer total yards
40.5%
15–22 · 37 games
148 games with this statistic recorded.
Nate Moore era
What goes into a win?
Archive sample · Nate Moore years (2015–2025)
119–29 80.4% win rate
The archive sample is Nate Moore's years as head coach—148 games with recorded plays for both teams. These are final-game associations, not pregame predictions. Game flow, opponent strength and overlapping stats can affect the results. The incomplete 2026 season is not included.
Ordered by the win-rate difference between meeting each condition and not meeting it. Thresholds are round-number comparisons, not optimized cutoffs.
02 / Win-rate gap
+35.4 pts
Limit the opponent's rushing
Under 100 rushing yards
97.4%
75–2 · 77 games
100+ rushing yards
62.0%
44–27 · 71 games
148 games with this statistic recorded (the 2 losses: 2020 vs. Lakewood St. Ed's L 23–24; 2021 vs. Green L 25–26 (playoff)).
03 / Win-rate gap
+32.7 pts
Win the turnover battle
More takeaways than giveaways
97.2%
70–2 · 72 games
Tied or lost turnover battle
64.5%
49–27 · 76 games
148 games with this statistic recorded (the 2 losses: 2015 at Canton McKinley L 28–30; 2025 vs. Rabun Gap-Nacoochee L 35–50).
04 / Win-rate gap
+24.0 pts
Protect the football
No giveaways
97.6%
41–1 · 42 games
1+ giveaways
73.6%
78–28 · 106 games
148 games with this statistic recorded (the 1 loss: 2017 vs. Canisius NY L 35–49).
05 / Win-rate gap
+14.8 pts
Run for 200 yards
200+ rushing yards
88.9%
56–7 · 63 games
Under 200 rushing yards
74.1%
63–22 · 85 games
148 games with this statistic recorded.
06 / Win-rate gap
-0.6 pts
Pass for 200 yards
200+ passing yards
80.0%
40–10 · 50 games
Under 200 passing yards
80.6%
79–19 · 98 games
148 games with this statistic recorded.
A closer look
Defense & the football
Takeaways minus giveaways · Massillon win rate
Won battle
70–2 (72)
Even
17–6 (23)
Lost battle
32–21 (53)
Dashed line: overall 80.4% win rate.
Yards allowed on the ground · Massillon win rate
Under 100
75–2 (77)
100–199
30–10 (40)
200–299
12–11 (23)
300+
2–6 (8)
Dashed line: overall 80.4% win rate.
Source: shared MassillonTigers.com game archive, Nate Moore assignments only. Regular season and playoffs are included unless filtered. Missing numbers are excluded per statistic; genuine zero turnovers and negative rushing yards are retained. No games in this archive sample lack recorded plays. Percentages show wins divided by games. These comparisons overlap and must not be combined into a forecast.
Nate Moore era
What happens in a loss?
Archive sample · Nate Moore years (2015–2025)
119–29 19.6% loss rate
The archive sample is Nate Moore's years as head coach—148 games with every number on file. Five things are tracked: an opponent rushing for 100 yards, losing the turnover battle, giving the ball away, being outgained and rushing for under 100 yards. These are final-game associations, not pregame predictions.
Click a condition to see what happens when it does — click more to stack them and see every game where all of them happened at once.
Nothing picked yet — every game in the sample: 119–29 · 148 games · 19.6% loss rate.
Source: shared MassillonTigers.com game archive, Nate Moore assignments only. A game counts only when every number behind the picked conditions is on file, and the incomplete 2026 season is excluded. Conditions overlap, so these records cannot be added together or turned into a forecast.